皮海洲:股市行情的持续上涨是可以吸引人气,为市场赢得投资者

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刚刚过去的2012年12月,是股市行情大幅上涨的一个月份。从12月4日探底1949.46点,到今年1月4日上摸2296.11点,上证指数上涨了约350点,最大涨幅达到了18%左右。这让投资者在严寒的冬季里也感受到了一些春天般的温暖。

    但终究还不是股市的春天。所以,股市里的一些数据仍然透露着寒意。如中登公司日前发布的数据显示,截至1月4日,A股持仓账户数降至5509.22万户,创出近两年来的最低水平;A股持仓账户占比跌至32.77%,为有统计以来的最低。而在12月7日,A股持仓账户数为5555.12万户。这意味着在过去的一个月里,尽管股市上涨了,但却有45.9万股民清空了自己的账户。当然,这45.9万账户是一个净清空账户数据,考虑到因为股市上涨而入市的投资者人数,实际上清空账户的投资者远远不只这45.9万人。

    通常说来,股市行情的持续上涨是可以吸引人气,为市场赢得投资者的。但目前的A股市场,虽然行情上涨了一个月,但投资者账户却净清空45.9万户,这是一个值得市场参与各方认真思考的问题。

    以笔者之见,出现这种现象也很正常。冰冻三尺,非一日之寒。股市经过最近几年的持续下跌,投资者信心尽失。要恢复投资者的信心,显然不是这一个月的上涨行情就能够做到的。而且从最近几年的行情来看,虽然股市也曾出现过时间长短不一的上涨行情,但事实证明,每一轮上涨行情都是投资者逢高减磅的机会。因此,在本轮上涨行情中,投资者继续选择逢高清仓出局,这就不难理解了。

    所以,尽管股市涨了,但投资者却还出现了流失现象,这归根到底还是由于投资者对当前股市缺少信心的表现。如何恢复投资者的信心,这是摆在管理层面前的一个现实问题。而这个问题并不是用行情的上涨就能够掩盖的。毕竟在投资者信心不足的情况下,股市行情的上涨是难以持续的,哪怕就是出现短期的人造牛市,但行情最终的终结不可避免。

    如何帮助投资者找回丢失的信心?当然,经济形势的好转这有助于投资者信心的回升,但这只是一个很次要的问题。毕竟中国股市并不是经济的晴雨表,尽管中国经济过去有着十年的黄金发展时期,但中国股市仍然是十年“零涨幅”甚至“负增长”,A股市场堪称是一个怪胎。而要真正恢复投资者信心,根治这个怪胎,中国股市就必须改变“圈钱市”的定位,让股市从为融资服务转移到为投资者服务的正确轨道上来。企业上市融资当然可以,但必须是建立在给予投资者足够回报的基础上。而且上市公司各种违法违规必须受到严惩。并且建立严格的赔偿制度,引入集体诉讼机制,切实保护投资者利益。只有如此,才能真正找回投资者的信心。否则,在一个牺牲投资者利益的“圈钱市”里,要让投资者对股市充满信心,这本身就是一件很荒诞的事情。因此,对于目前的中国股市来说,要找回投资者的信心,任重而道远。

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皮海洲

皮海洲

职业投资者,独立财经撰稿人。1993年入市,十四年的股市磨练,练就了对股市独到的眼光与见解。所写文章以政策、时事热点评述、股票炒作心得为主,以反映中小投资者呼声为 己任,著有《轻轻松松炒股票》一书。联系方式:phz168@21cn.com

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